Special Brief, July27. 2024
The month of July 2024 witnessed a significant surge in suicide drone attacks carried out by the Syrian regime and its militias across various locations in Idlib. This article delves into the details of these attacks, analyzing the data to uncover patterns, targets, and the resulting impact on civilians and infrastructure.
Overview of the Attacks
The attacks were dispersed across multiple towns and villages in Idlib, each suffering varying degrees of casualties and damage. The map and chart below summarizes the incidents:
Patterns and Trends
1) Frequency of Attacks
The highest number of attacks in a single day occurred in Nayrab on July 9th, with nine attacks using Emax drones. Other significant days included July 15th in Moataf with eight attacks, and July 24th in Kadoura with another eight attacks. These peak attack days indicate periods of intensified drone activity and strategic targeting.
2) Types of Drones
Various types of drones were used, including DJI, Emax (Godfather 120C Battery), and Russian-made drones, with several attacks recorded using unknown types. The usage of different drone types indicates a diversified arsenal at the attackers' disposal, potentially signifying different sources of supply and varying tactical applications. This variety suggests a well-coordinated and resourceful campaign aimed at maximizing impact.
The "GODFATHER 120C" battery is typically used in high-performance drones and RC (remote control) devices, often associated with racing drones or custom-built drones due to its high discharge rate. This type of battery is not exclusive to a single brand but is rather a third-party battery used by enthusiasts and professionals who may require specific performance characteristics.
Brands and types of drones that commonly use third-party batteries like the "GODFATHER 120C" include:
Custom-built Racing Drones: These are often built by hobbyists and professionals who prefer to customize their drones for maximum performance.
High-Performance Drones: Certain brands that focus on racing or performance drones, such as TBS (Team BlackSheep) or EMAX, might use similar high-discharge batteries.
Freestyle and FPV Drones: First-person view (FPV) drones used for freestyle flying and aerial acrobatics may also use these types of batteries for better power and performance.
However, it’s important to note that DJI, a major consumer drone brand, typically uses proprietary batteries designed specifically for their models and may not use third-party batteries like the "GODFATHER 120C".
3) Targets and Impact
The primary targets were civilians, with multiple incidents resulting in casualties and injuries. Infrastructure damage included homes and vehicles, with certain attacks causing severe destruction. For instance, the attack in Majdaliya on July 1st resulted in one home and one vehicle being destroyed. There was also a notable attack on a Turkish military point (TSK Point) in Kadoura on July 24th, highlighting the strategic targets of these drone strikes. The consistent targeting of civilians and key infrastructure underscores a deliberate tactic to inflict maximum disruption and fear.
4) Geographic Distribution
The attacks were geographically dispersed across Idlib, affecting towns such as Majdaliya, Afs, San, Nayrab, and others. The coordinates provided indicate a widespread area of operation, impacting both rural and urban settlements. This geographic spread demonstrates the attackers' capability to reach various parts of Idlib, making it challenging for any single area to prepare or respond effectively. The widespread impact highlights the pervasive threat these drone attacks pose to the region's stability and safety.
Human and Material Impact
The human toll of these attacks is significant, with several incidents resulting in casualties and injuries. Notably, the attack on Nayrab on July 18th by Emax drones targeted civilians, resulting in one home being destroyed. Similarly, the attack on Sarmin on July 26th saw one casualty and one vehicle destroyed by an Emax drone. These incidents highlight the severe impact of these attacks on the civilian population.
Material damage also remains a critical concern. The destruction of homes and vehicles exacerbates the humanitarian crisis in the region, leaving many without shelter and essential means of transportation. The repeated targeting of civilian infrastructure is not only a tactic of warfare but also a means to destabilize the affected areas, causing long-term suffering for the residents.
Strategic Implications
The strategic use of suicide drones by the Syrian regime and its militias underscores the evolving nature of warfare in the region. These attacks serve multiple purposes:
Psychological Impact: Instilling fear among the civilian population and disrupting daily life.
Military Strategy: Targeting opposition-held areas to weaken resistance and control.
Deterrence: Demonstrating technological capabilities and readiness to use advanced warfare techniques.
The psychological impact is profound, as the unpredictability of drone attacks creates an environment of constant fear and anxiety among civilians. Militarily, these drones are used to target key opposition areas, weakening their defensive capabilities and exerting control. Additionally, the use of advanced drone technology serves as a deterrent, showcasing the regime's ability to execute precise and lethal strikes.
Conclusion
The data from July 2024 highlights a concerted effort by the Syrian regime and its militias to leverage suicide drones as a means of maintaining pressure on Idlib. The diverse range of targets, from civilians to military points, illustrates a multifaceted approach aimed at both tactical gains and psychological warfare. The use of varied drone types and the widespread geographic distribution of attacks indicate a sophisticated and coordinated campaign.
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